73 days
for medical knowledge to double
Projected doubling time of medical knowledge by 2020. In 1950 it was an estimated 50 years.
Densen P., “Challenges and Opportunities Facing Medical Education,” Trans Am Clin Climatol Assoc, 2011.
The problem is success
Experts aren’t failing. They’re being outrun by their own discoveries.
The volume of new research is not a sign that medicine is broken — it is a sign that medicine is
working. But it has crossed a threshold. No clinician, however dedicated, can read, appraise, and
apply everything that becomes relevant to a single complex patient.
That gap is where treatable patients get standard care instead of precise care.
AI is not the threat to human expertise. Information overload is. AI is the solution.